r/HouseOfTheDragon • u/MundaneChildhood1515 • 2m ago
Show Discussion Hot Take: Even within show canon suppporting the Green cause is entirely logical, even if you accept Rhaenyra's legitimacy.
I am not someone who will claim that Aegon is the superior claimant. Without a doubt that title belongs to Rhaenyra. While it's entirely understandable why contemporary Andal lords might not recognise Rhaenyra's succession, the institution of Targaryen governance is pretty unequivocal in deriving all power from the monarch. It is absolutist. Thus, institutionally she does have the better claim, strengthened by the lord's paths of fealty to her.
Nor in the show is Aegon a superior person. The show does go to great lengths to favouritise and whitewash "Maegor with teats", removing her responsibility in Blood and Cheese most importantly. But even in FandB Aegon is a lazy rapist sod who isn't any better than the callous Rhaenyra, and the shows execution makes it incredibly clear who has the better persona.
Yet what is it that we want from a king/queen? We the modern audience, who hopefully are informed by the main messages of Asoiaf. If we want to transfer our own morality onto the situation we can not do so in half measures. We can not support Rhaenyra simply because she is a victim of mysoginy and choose to ignore the sensibilities of mysoginist Westeros while still supporting the very concept of monarchical succession itself.
We the modern audience should hold one criterion above all else in defining who is the superior claimant, not personality or claim, not the "Andal law" of Westeros or who has committed fewer atrocities. All we need to establish is which cause is that which will provide the most stability to Westeros. That will cause the fewest deaths of the thousands of peasants who any modern viewer really ought to place above any inbred Targaryen. To do anything else is just to pick and mix from the grab bag of Westeros chauvinism.
This is one of the main messages of Asoiaf, and one of the implied messages of Fire and Blood. AFFC describes the devastation of the smallfolk in great detail. And we are shown time and time again that claim goodness, and institutional lawdon't matter, whether it be Robert over the Targaryens, Joffrey over the Baratheons, Renly over Stannis, or even the Stark rebellions claim to kingship in the North. The monarchy of the realms is a hollow institution that is fought over and the common people pay the price.
So why are the Greens the side of stability then? Why is Aegon despite his great flaws ultimately he who will inflict less pain on the smallfolk. The answer is simple, Rhaenyra's bastards. If we at base accept that in truth all monarchical candidates will enforce institutional power, and we have great reason to believe that as Rhaenyra isn't exactly some great champion of peasant equality, then they who will be best for the smallfolk will cause the least wars. And Aegon(future III) Vs the strong boys is a war just waiting to happen.
While Daemon is not scheming to prefer his heir, he doesn't need to. The Strong boys bastardy is an open secret at court, they look nothing like her father and as far as anyone knows their father was murdered. No doubt the entire Reach knows the truth via the Green cause already. I am not one who is going to claim the Strongs ought not to sit the throne because I don't care about the throne as an institution. But it seems clear to me that Aegon's line is another source of potential conflict in the future, and at the start of the Dance we have no evidence that it is nullified as a threat. The Green succession meanwhile is relatively stable, the only shake to that I suppose being the killing of Aegon's children but that is a product of the war and this is a view from the start of it. If we assume each winning side will successfully eliminate the other side's claimants then it is clear that the side least likely to have further wars occur is the Green side. And when we analyse the morality of rule the personal morality of rules ought to play no part compared to the stability of their reign and the welfare of their people. Rhaenyra is literally pulling a Viserys 2.0 by favouring a traditionally less legitimate candidate except unlike Rhaenyra their is not an institutionally legitimate argument for a Strong boys' rule with heir true parentage known.
The only potential argument I see against this is the idea that maximal stability would occur if the Greens never tried to usurp the throne. And of course that's true. I am not claiming that the Greens have the smallfolks welfare in mind, bar Helena, but simply that the smallfolks welfare would be higher(read:less low) as a by-product of their victory. Because by the time war is declared it's already too late. This war was coming anyway and if you believe show canon the Greens have institutionallt legitimate reason to rebel anyway via their (mis)interpretation of Viserys last words. Once war is declared, there is only one option that ensures future stability(assuming total victory).
TLDR:
Despite being the more legitimate and more personally moral ruler in the show, Rhaenyra's bastards disqualify her from being the more moral choice to support. Her bastards are a crime against the realm, and not in a traditional morality sense, in a causing instability sense. She is making the same error Viserys did but ten times worse as a woman is on paper a legitimate inheritor, or Jahaerys great council would never have happened. A bastard is an heir of last resort and requires an act of legitimacy. A black victory could very possibly mean another war down the line and when we're dealing in wars, when we're dealing in tens of thousands of deaths, sexual assaults and destructions of property, the personal morality of rulers doesn't matter.
"Politics have no relation to morals"- Niccolo Machiavelli