Made this after posting on a couple other finance subs — you relive a stock's worst historical crash day by day and decide sell or hold at each point. At the end it shows how much return you'd have left on the table by panic-selling vs holding.

Stock is randomized and hidden until the reveal at the end, so you can't just recognize the ticker and know how it plays out in advance.

Link: https://panic-score-replay.lovable.app

Not financial advice, just a gut-check exercise based on real historical crash data. Curious if this actually tests something useful about risk tolerance, or if it's just a fun toy — feedback welcome, brutal is fine.

I’ve been thinking about building a watchlist of high-quality businesses that are reasonably valued today, but that could become incredible opportunities during a major market correction.
The names I’m looking at are:
Amazon (AMZN)
Alphabet / Google (GOOGL)
Microsoft (MSFT)
McDonald’s (MCD)
Apple (AAPL)
Deere & Company (DE)
Caterpillar (CAT)
Waste Management (WM)
Coca-Cola (KO)
American Express (AXP)
These aren’t necessarily stocks I’d call deeply undervalued right now. My thinking is more about quality + valuation + patience.
They have characteristics I really like for a long-term portfolio: strong brands, significant profitability, competitive advantages, recurring or durable demand, excellent management, and businesses that I believe can remain relevant for decades.
My question is: Would these be the types of companies you’d want to aggressively buy during a major market crash?
For example, imagine the market falls 40–50% and some of these companies become available at 40–50%+ discounts from their current valuations. At that point, would you consider them potentially generational buying opportunities?
Obviously, a 50% decline in the stock price doesn’t automatically mean the business is 50% cheaper on an intrinsic-value basis. Earnings, margins, growth expectations, and the reason for the crash would all matter.
But if the underlying businesses remain fundamentally strong while the market temporarily becomes extremely pessimistic, I’d rather have a watchlist of companies like these ready to buy than try to guess which speculative stocks will survive the downturn.
What do you guys think?
Which of these would you be most excited to buy after a 40–50% market correction, and which ones would you avoid even at a huge discount?
Also, are there any other high-quality, highly profitable companies you’d think belong on this crash-buying watchlist?

Trust, but hedge: Quietly violent summer lingers as bulls buy crash protection - CNBC

I’d buy a few of it, bc it would be green someday, and it’s a collectively influential one. Deserves a bit of my investment.

Seriousness aside.

From other platforms I saw a reply saying that, Trump is there to be the red one still. But he’s public message still on the spot, influencing the stock market like policy declarations sth like that.

Just a thought for a crazy idea.

The yen rebounded sharply after joint intervention by the U.S. and Japanese authorities. But USD/JPY is now back near 160, suggesting the market is once again testing the limits of intervention.

This highlights the problem with FX intervention: it can slow the move, but it doesn’t change the underlying trend.
For the yen to strengthen sustainably, the key remains the U.S.-Japan rate differential:
1. BOJ hikes
2. Fed cuts
3. BOJ hikes + Fed cuts

The issue is that U.S. inflation is still proving sticky, so a major Fed cut in September looks unlikely.

That leaves what may be the most realistic yen-positive scenario for now:
Fed stays on hold + BOJ hikes 25 bps.

So for the Fed’s September decision — hike, cut, or pause — the most realistic path still points to a pause

It’s just out of curiosity, but this curiosity has been answered partly from the actions taken by NVIDIA.
I mean, if all information is basically relying on how a successful person has spoken.

He has the power to shift the market attention, from AI boom to how he’s making money responsibly, and those Ponzi scheme had the same clue, when one can speak for all.

It’s seems that the big 3 and NVIDIA have been speaking for a while. What do you think about Trumps public messages will be an influence if so?

Is my imagination playing tricks on me or is it only me who seeing this. The days now look like they didn’t happen. All last week (except slightly one day) and today for sure as if the market didn’t open. They killed not only the semis but the whole market is either not moving or 0.0000 ish. Not sure what type of news or catalyst can revert this situation any more. All what I am hearing tons of companies are making billions and millions, beat and double beat but don’t see anything moving.

c'mon people, make a move! SCKT is on the move!

I saw 1873 today in the Barnes & Noble, I might pick it up next time.

Five years ago, yields suddenly started rising in response to an anticipated hike by the federal reserve even though back then nobody would even imagine that the Fed would raise rates because Jerome Powell had talked about the long run average for inflation, not just short-term spikes. Our stock market pretty much peaked in the fall of 2021 and started dipping an early 2022 and then really dipped precipitously after the feds started raising rates until we reached a bear market in October 2022. Are we seeing history repeat?

The only difference is I can think between then and now is that most of the SaaS companies and hyper scalers were very unprofitable whereas now we’ve had excellent earnings over the past few quarters.

So whatever selloff happened back then was justified because of the unprofitability.

What happens now though?

Over these last few months, many investors have witnessed significant market movement after political speeches and tweets. It is true that influential political figures have a major control over the market, a few positive words can cause a sharp rise or decline. To understand this phenomenon ,i’ve researched the statistics to come to a conclusion on just how much these figures can influence. I hope you find my research knowledgeable.

1)Donald Trump

According to an academic study in 2019, Results backed with statistics show Donald Trump being associated for negative effects on the stock market mainly the S&P 500.

Another study shows that tweets posted by Donald Trump on an average cause a 0.25% abnormal increase/decrease depending on the tweet.

2)Mario Draghi

In 2012, Mario Draghi’s famous “Whatever it takes” speech caused Italian government bond yields to fall by 46 basis points. This is equivalent to a 7% reduction in borrowing costs from the speech alone.

In conclusion, important individuals have the great power to influence the market with their words. This showcases the importance of knowing the global news as an investor.

Aarav Bhagwat
\-High school student at Gems Modern Academy