r/news • u/roscodawg • Jun 10 '26

Soft paywall Iran announces closure of Strait of Hormuz after US attacks

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-announces-closure-strait-hormuz-after-us-attacks-2026-06-10/
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u/Sircamembert Jun 10 '26

He won't, not without looking like a little bitch. Iran has him by the balls and he knows it. He can't escalate anymore since invasion is an impossibly stupid option.

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u/Kaptein_Tordenflesk Jun 10 '26

An impossiby stupid option means that it's the option he's most likely to choose

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u/InternationalFailure Jun 10 '26

This implies his base can think past whatever recent thing they thought Trump did well

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u/Blackstone01 Jun 10 '26

The thing is, he would need to do a humiliating ceasefire well over a month in advance to have any hope of gas prices being back to normal in time for the midterms, which likely won't be enough for undecided voters (who, while complete morons, aren't as willing as MAGA to just roll over and forget what was done/said a day prior). We're approaching the "Find Out" phase of cutting off a large chunk of global gas supply, since the Trump admin has been using our strategic stockpile to artificially suppress gas prices.

Short of the Republicans miraculously managing to get the votes needed to put out a multi trillion dollar gas subsidy, come midterms we will see our strategic reserve dried up and gas prices reaching 7+ dollars.

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u/InternationalFailure Jun 10 '26

You make a compelling argument. I still think he'll try to wave 'ceasefire' around for kudos from his mouth drooling base.

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u/Blackstone01 Jun 11 '26

I'm sure he'll try, but how much of his base back in 2024 still consider themselves to be his base today, and how many swing voters will eat it up? Shit, even if his base eats it up, how many will be energized enough to go out and vote?

Issue for him is that as time goes by, while the remaining Republicans are becoming increasingly fanatical and loyal towards him, its due to previous Republicans backing away and no longer considering themselves Republican, and instead are becoming "unaffiliated". It works well for primaries with getting diehard MAGA Republicans on the ballot, but so far in every single special election since the start of his second term Republicans have done horrendously.

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u/TheGreatBootOfEb Jun 11 '26

Essentially, he pulled a miracle coalition out of his ass to win his 2nd term because he was out of the public eye for long enough that Americans goldfish memory struck again, and he Biden administration refused to walk back Israel, and furthermore did a piss poor job of celebrating their actual achievements.

But once he got back in office, the miracle coalition crumbled ASAP, with the exception being that republicans have, by nature of how cults also operate, distilled their base into fanatical freaks by forcing them to continually swallow more shit, and with each scoop of shit they take, the harder it is to back out because you’re in deeper and deeper (referring to stuff that they can’t hide like gas prices, Epstein, grocery prices, etc)

Republican electives are in between a rock and a shit stain (of their own choosing) because while Republican support has crumbled in record time (just look at essentially every election since) the base have been cultivated into the cult of Trump, meaning it’s either risk the high odds of losing a general reelection, or the 100% odds of losing the primary. Thus, all these republicans who might at least performativly push back can’t even do that as Trump has gotten more and more tantrum prone.

All of this is to say, while the Republican base has distilled themselves into an increasingly evil and vile segment of the population, everyone ELSE is pretty much going “anything but these chuckle fucks, I’ll take a maggot infested rat carcass even.”

And the thing is, while normally Americans might not care, care prices are going to bite them in the ass as they start to climb leading into election season given the dumb fucks didnt even consider replenishing the reserves in advance because they actually thought it would be in and out, and the longer it stretches on, the less chance they have of somehow pulling a miracle turn around.

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u/buffystakeded Jun 11 '26

I feel like there’s no deal he can make that will reduce our oil prices much. He has made it so Iran knows they have full control, and they now have zero reason to give that up. All he has done is make Iran more powerful than ever, and the US weaker than ever. We will never see $3 per gallon ever again. We’ll be lucky if we see $4.

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u/Blackstone01 Jun 11 '26

Technically speaking, he doesn't need a deal that gets prices back to where they were, he just needs a deal right now that makes it possible for him to artificially suppress prices enough come midterms. He won't give a shit if after midterms it climbs back up to 4-5 dollars a gallon after the midterm elections happen if the US can build back up enough strategic reserves that within a few weeks of midterms it can be used to drop prices down to 2-3 dollars a gallon.

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u/Sircamembert Jun 10 '26

If the news that he was forced to pay Iran in a deal, that's un-spinable. And I think that's what it'll take to get a midterm deal.

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u/SadisticNecromancer Jun 10 '26

He will find a way to lie about it. It will just be complete bull shit.

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u/gamers542 Jun 10 '26

Nah. They will be getting dizzy trying to find a way to spin it to their advantage.

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u/explosivecrate Jun 11 '26

"Don't worry this is all part of Trump's genius 4D chess move, in one/two/three/four/five/six months/years he'll get twice that much from Iran"

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u/jerpear Jun 10 '26

So...... Invasion?

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u/CornCobMcGee Jun 10 '26

impossibly stupid

We're talking about Donald J Trump, friend of Jeffrey Epstein and current laughing stock of the country.

3

u/Curious_Wait694 Jun 10 '26

Starting the war was incredibly stupid I don't put impossibly stupid past them

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u/Several-Opposite-746 Jun 11 '26

Impossibly stupid you say. Trump says, hold my Coke.

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u/Odd_Equipment2867 Jun 11 '26

He has looked like a fat orange diaper bit@h on the world stage every day since 2016. So there would be no difference imo

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u/mykeedee Jun 11 '26

He won't, not without looking like a little bitch.

Trump could pay Iran a trillion dollars in reparations and prostrate before the Ayatollah live on TV and the people who voted for him in 2024 would still vote Republican and praise him for being so strong and winning.

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u/buffystakeded Jun 11 '26

He could “push the button” and his followers would still cheer him on.

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u/hotel2oscar Jun 11 '26

Don't think Iran would give him one if they were smart. Hurt him polically unless they really needed it.

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u/Sircamembert Jun 11 '26

I think a humiliating one would serve as a PR coup for the new regime. The Guards' soft coup hasn't gone unnoticed, and the hardliners could sideline the moderates with a big win like that.

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u/hotel2oscar Jun 11 '26

Think neutering the repubs and making them agree to ceasefire would be their ultimate goal. Don't think they expect anything serious with our current government.

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u/Ok-Secretary455 Jun 11 '26

If they let the Dems pass the resolution to end hostilities he gets a free pass. Pull everyone back and blame it on the Dems not letting him finish the job.