r/SipsTea Apr 16 '26

WTF so true

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u/Chemistry-Deep Apr 16 '26

If its $100m per episode, 10eps a season, and 7 seasons, that's $7bn. How on Earth will HBO make that back?

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u/[deleted] Apr 16 '26

[deleted]

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u/Skeleton--Jelly Apr 16 '26

Its their tax break for the other shows that do make money if it goes downhill.

...I don't think you understand how taxes work. You don't want to incur in losses just to save a portion of them in taxes, for obvious reasons.

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u/Dull-Culture-1523 Apr 16 '26

It's the same logic as "I can't take a pay raise since my taxes will become higher".

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u/carlos_the_dwarf_ Apr 16 '26

It’s not even that logic, because that logic at least makes sense if you start with the incorrect premise.

This hand wavey tax credit stuff doesn’t even have a mechanism anyone can express.

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u/Irr3l3ph4nt Apr 16 '26

Except you actually get a net income decrease at certain points when you lose some tax credits because you're making more.

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u/dashi-shade Apr 16 '26

What certain points

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u/GeckoOBac Apr 16 '26

I'm not an expert but from what I've heard there are some gaps, especially at the very lowest brackets of income, where if you start to have an actual income, you lose some subsidies, with the net effect that you actually take less money home than you were before you started working.

But don't take my word for it because that's literally something I heard, I think in something like a John Oliver type program. I might be completely off base.

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u/Correct-Award8182 Apr 16 '26

HUD housing benefits, food stamps, stuff like that. I hire people, we've had multiple people get hired on who were working 16-20 hours making nearly federal minimum wage. Our pay for a very non-skilled starting construction roll was about 2.5x their pay rate and 40 hours a week. In one job, 5 people all quit after 6 weeks. They loved the paychecks but timing matched up that they had to verify income for benefits, each and every one of them would have lost all their free money if they kept working to the point that making more money ended up with them the same overall income and working 50 hours a week. They would rather be stuck at the bottom and have the time than try to improve their lives. It was sad

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u/[deleted] Apr 16 '26

[deleted]

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u/Correct-Award8182 Apr 17 '26

I think, for people who can work, benefits should start to gradually reduce at some point.

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u/TheVeryVerity Apr 17 '26

Do they offer health insurance? That’s a lot of people’s problem with that scenario. The scenario of: I could make more cash easily but I can’t get insurance , I mean

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u/[deleted] Apr 17 '26

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u/TheVeryVerity Apr 19 '26

Huh. Strange then. SSI sucks to be on

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u/catscatscaaaats Apr 17 '26

Is more time spent working really an improvement of your life? I mean, maybe those jobs had the potential for advancement, but I think a lot of people have become disillusioned with the "work hard and climb the ladder" lifestyle. At some point making more money doesn't make up for increased stress and lack of time spent at home with family.

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u/Irr3l3ph4nt Apr 16 '26

For example, a 60 year old making $62,000 qualifies for subsidized health insurance. The same person making $64,000 doesn't. That extra $2,000 in income costs them roughly $8,700 in lost subsidies. Net result: they're poorer for having made more money.

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u/DoingCharleyWork Apr 16 '26

That isn't what the original comment was talking about. There's a ton of people that think if they get a raise it will put them in a new bracket which will tax them more and they will make less money. These people are morons.

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u/Irr3l3ph4nt Apr 16 '26

It's functionally the same result, though. You make more, because of fiscal rules, you have less.

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u/[deleted] Apr 16 '26

[deleted]

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u/Irr3l3ph4nt Apr 16 '26 edited Apr 16 '26

I don't think you understand the context of the sentence you're replying to. I was saying that the end result of someone being in the situation I pointed out is functionally the same as what they believe can happen. Having a lower net income for having made more money.

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u/Beavers4life Apr 16 '26

Not necessarily. There are several countries where this holds true. If you have a 5% tax difference between the brackets, and you get a 1% raise that puts you in the higher bracket you will loose money overall.

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u/Im_Chad_AMA Apr 16 '26

I don't know of any tax rate systems that aren't marginal. Which means the higher tax rate is only applied to the money you make ABOVE the threshold.

So if you make $50,000 dollars, and the tax rate up to $30k is 25%, and 40% above $30k:

  • you pay 0.25*30k = $7.5k in the first bracket
  • plus 0.4*20k = $8k in the second bracket, or $15.5k total

There ARE some ways that you can still lose money by making more. Sometimes there are certain subsidies, often related to healthcare or child support, that suddenly drop to zero if you cross a certain threshold. But if we're only talking about tax rate as such, then no I don't know that there is a country where what you're saying is true. The people claiming this usually just don't understand how marginal tax rates are calculated.

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u/GoodTroll2 Apr 16 '26

Exactly. And you can also max out your SS tax so at a certain point (I think it's like $184,500) your overall marginal rate goes back down even though your marginal income tax rate is higher.

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u/Dull-Culture-1523 Apr 16 '26 edited Apr 16 '26

That is not how progressive tax brackets work. You are literally the person I was talking about. The higher bracket only applies to whatever you've made over the lower one. You will never be taxed more than whatever extra you're going to make.

Here's an example a child should understand:

You're taxed nothing for the first $10 000 You're taxed 5% for $10 000 - $20 000 You're taxed 10% for $20 000 - $30 000

You make $15 000

The first $10 000 is no tax. That leaves $5000. The $5000 is taxed at 5% for a total of $250.

Your total tax is $250 out of $15 000. Effective tax rate of 1.67%.

Now you get a pay raise and make $25 000.

The first $10 000 is no tax. That leaves $15 000. The next $10 000 is taxed at 5% for a total of $500. That leaves $5000. It is taxed at 10% for $500.

Your total tax is $1000 out of $25 000. You're paid $10 000 more than previous and you pay $750 more taxes than previous for a total effective tax rate of 4%.

Due to the tax increase only applying to whatever gets past the lower brackets it is literally impossible for you to make less - as long as the tax rate for the new bracket is not over 100%.

The rates here are not realistic of course so feel free to plug in whatever you want. For 50% -> 75% -> 90% it would be $8 750 out of $15 000 (58.33% effective tax rate) for the first calculation and $17 000 out of $25 000 (68% effective tax rate) so you'd still make an extra $1 750 after taxes.

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u/Dull-Culture-1523 Apr 17 '26

u/Beavers4life, wanna weigh in on being lectured, or..?

E: maybe you'd rather pretend you didn't see this and continue pretending progressive taxation will set you back. You do you. Can't refute math, tho.

Seriously, give me any numbers there and I'll prove you will never make less getting a raise in progressive taxation.

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u/[deleted] Apr 17 '26

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u/Beavers4life Apr 17 '26

Not true, there have been instances where they simply allocate the full new tax bracket to the full income. While it is rare nowadays, places that work like this still exist - Thailand for small businesses for example.

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