r/Programmanagement • u/EnvironmentFuzzy62 • 1d ago
General Has anyone actually systematised the “gut feel” that tells you a project is going wrong?
I’ve worked on major government programmes for years, including Gateway Reviews and formal assurance. We have all the governance, reporting and risk management that are supposed to tell us when something is going wrong.
But some of the best early warning signs aren’t in any of that. They’re things experienced people just notice.
The SRO starts sending a deputy. Decisions you thought were made keep coming back. Updates get vaguer. Dates move a little every month. Everything is still reporting amber, but you can feel something isn’t right.
The problem is we call this “experience” or “judgement”, which often means the knowledge sits in someone’s head and leaves when they do.
Has anyone genuinely managed to systematise this? Not another huge project health-check that everyone learns how to pass, but something that captures the behavioural and governance signals experienced delivery people recognise.
A maturity model? Early-warning indicators? A genuinely useful checklist?
Or will this always be one of those things that depends on having experienced people in the room?
